Using Machine Learning to Optimise the Danish Drowning Formula

NCT ID: NCT06310525

Last Updated: 2025-08-27

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING

Total Enrollment

1500 participants

Study Classification

OBSERVATIONAL

Study Start Date

2024-01-01

Study Completion Date

2025-12-31

Brief Summary

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The Danish Drowning Formula (DDF) was designed to search the unstructured text fields in the Danish nationwide Prehospital Electronic Medical Record on unrestricted terms with comprehensive search criteria to identify all potential water-related incidents and achieve a high sensitivity. This was important as drowning is a rare occurrence, but it resulted in a low Positive Predictive Value for detecting drowning incidents specifically. This study aims to augment the positive predictive value of the DDF and reduce the temporal demands associated with manual validation.

Detailed Description

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The DDF was published in 2023. It is a text-search algorithm designed to search the unstructured text fields in databases containing electronic medical records to identify all potential water-related incidents. The DDF consists of numerous trigger words related to submersion injury (e.g., "drukn"/ drown, "vand"/water, "hav"/ocean, and "båd"/ boat).

An ongoing study showed impressive performance metrics of the DDF as a drowning identification tool when applied to the Danish PEMR on unrestricted terms. However, the PPV was low for detecting drowning incidents specifically. This study aims to augment the DDF's positive predictive value and reduce the temporal demands associated with manual validation.

Data are extracted from the Danish nationwide Prehospital Electronic Medical Record using the DDF and manually validated before entered into the Danish Prehospital Drowning Data (DPDD).

Data from the DPDD from 2016-2021 will be split into 80% (training data) and 20% (test data) and used to train the machine learning.

Data from the DPDD from 2022-2023 will be used as validation data to calculate the performance metrics for the machine learning.

Conditions

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Drowning Drowning and Submersion While in Bath-Tub Drowning and Submersion While in Natural Water Drowning and Submersion While in Swimming-Pool Drowning and Submersion Due to Fall Off Ship Drowning and Nonfatal Submersion Drowning, Near Drowning; Asphyxia

Study Design

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Observational Model Type

COHORT

Study Time Perspective

RETROSPECTIVE

Study Groups

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Fatal drowning

Drowning incidents where the patient died within 30 days after the incident as a consequence of the submersion injury

Drowning incident

Intervention Type OTHER

Drowning was defined by the WHO in 2002 as "the process of experiencing respiratory impairment from submersion or immersion in liquid".

Non-fatal drowning

Drowning incidents where the patient survived to 30 days

Drowning incident

Intervention Type OTHER

Drowning was defined by the WHO in 2002 as "the process of experiencing respiratory impairment from submersion or immersion in liquid".

Interventions

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Drowning incident

Drowning was defined by the WHO in 2002 as "the process of experiencing respiratory impairment from submersion or immersion in liquid".

Intervention Type OTHER

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* The patient must have been experiencing respiratory impairment from submersion or immersion in liquid (including persistent coughing, respiratory arrest, and unconsciousness).
* The patient must have been in contact with the Danish prehospital Emergency Medical Services.

Exclusion Criteria

* Duplets
* Invalid civil registration number
Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sponsors

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Prehospital Center, Region Zealand

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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Niklas Breindahl

Principal Investigator

Responsibility Role PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Principal Investigators

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Helle Collatz Christensen, Ass. Prof.

Role: STUDY_DIRECTOR

Prehospital Center, Region Zealand

Locations

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Prehospital Center

Næstved, Region Sjælland, Denmark

Site Status

Countries

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Denmark

References

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Breindahl N, Wolthers SA, Jensen TW, Holgersen MG, Blomberg SNF, Steinmetz J, Christensen HC; Danish Cardiac Arrest Group. Danish Drowning Formula for identification of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest from drowning. Am J Emerg Med. 2023 Nov;73:55-62. doi: 10.1016/j.ajem.2023.08.024. Epub 2023 Aug 15.

Reference Type BACKGROUND
PMID: 37619443 (View on PubMed)

Breindahl N, Wolthers SA, Moller TP, Blomberg SNF, Steinmetz J, Christensen HC; Danish Drowning Validation Group. Characteristics and critical care interventions in drowning patients treated by the Danish Air Ambulance from 2016 to 2021: a nationwide registry-based study with 30-day follow-up. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2024 Mar 6;32(1):17. doi: 10.1186/s13049-024-01189-y.

Reference Type BACKGROUND
PMID: 38448994 (View on PubMed)

Other Identifiers

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DROWN_DDF2

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

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