SUCCESS Score Validation in Fuchs Dystrophy

NCT ID: NCT07265388

Last Updated: 2025-12-04

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

RECRUITING

Total Enrollment

250 participants

Study Classification

OBSERVATIONAL

Study Start Date

2020-06-01

Study Completion Date

2026-12-31

Brief Summary

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This prospective multicenter diagnostic study aims to externally validate and extend the SUCCESS Score for predicting the need for endothelial keratoplasty after cataract surgery in patients with Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD). The model's performance and clinical utility are assessed using discrimination, calibration, and reclassification metrics.

Detailed Description

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Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD) is a progressive corneal disorder characterized by endothelial cell loss, corneal edema, and visual impairment. In patients with FECD and cataract, an important clinical challenge is to predict whether cataract surgery alone will suffice or whether endothelial keratoplasty (EK) will be required postoperatively. Accurate preoperative risk stratification is essential for surgical planning and patient counseling.

The SUCCESS Score, derived from Scheimpflug tomography, was proposed as an objective index to estimate the risk of postoperative corneal decompensation in FECD. However, its external multicenter validation and the potential contribution of corneal densitometry have not yet been fully established.

This ongoing prospective, observational, multicenter study aims to externally validate and extend the SUCCESS Score for predicting the need for EK after cataract surgery in patients with FECD. The study is being conducted across five tertiary referral centers in Spain. Eligible participants are adults with FECD grade ≥2 on the modified Krachmer scale and a visually significant cataract requiring phacoemulsification. Patients with epithelial edema, prior ocular surgery, corneal infection, or trauma are excluded.

Preoperative evaluation includes Scheimpflug tomography and corneal densitometry analysis. The primary outcome is the requirement for endothelial keratoplasty after cataract surgery, determined by postoperative visual function and corneal evaluation. Model performance will be assessed through discrimination (Harrell's C statistic), calibration, reclassification (IDI, NRI), and decision curve analysis to estimate clinical utility.

The primary analysis is scheduled for completion in October 2024. Extended follow-up will continue until June 25, 2026, to assess long-term predictive performance and generalizability of the extended SUCCESS model.

An interactive web-based calculator implementing both the original and extended SUCCESS models will be provided as a supplementary tool to facilitate clinical use and standardized patient counseling across participating centers.

Conditions

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Fuchs Endothelial Corneal Dystrophy

Study Design

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Observational Model Type

COHORT

Study Time Perspective

PROSPECTIVE

Study Groups

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FECD Cohort

Patients with clinically diagnosed Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD) undergoing phacoemulsification cataract surgery at participating tertiary centers. All participants receive standard cataract surgery, and their preoperative data are used to calculate the SUCCESS Score with and without corneal densitometry parameters. Postoperative outcomes are monitored to determine the need for endothelial keratoplasty (EK).

Phacoemulsification Cataract Surgery

Intervention Type PROCEDURE

Standard phacoemulsification cataract surgery performed in patients with Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD). All procedures are carried out according to institutional protocols at participating tertiary centers. Preoperative Scheimpflug tomography and corneal densitometry measurements are collected to calculate the SUCCESS Score and evaluate the risk of postoperative endothelial decompensation. Postoperative outcomes are monitored to determine whether endothelial keratoplasty (EK) is required during follow-up.

Interventions

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Phacoemulsification Cataract Surgery

Standard phacoemulsification cataract surgery performed in patients with Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD). All procedures are carried out according to institutional protocols at participating tertiary centers. Preoperative Scheimpflug tomography and corneal densitometry measurements are collected to calculate the SUCCESS Score and evaluate the risk of postoperative endothelial decompensation. Postoperative outcomes are monitored to determine whether endothelial keratoplasty (EK) is required during follow-up.

Intervention Type PROCEDURE

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* Adults aged ≥40 years.
* Clinical diagnosis of Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD) grade ≥2 on the modified Krachmer scale.
* Presence of visually significant cataract requiring phacoemulsification surgery.
* Ability to provide informed consent and comply with study procedures.
* Availability of preoperative Scheimpflug tomography and corneal densitometry measurements.

Exclusion Criteria

* Epithelial or stromal edema precluding reliable corneal imaging.
* Previous ocular surgery (including corneal or intraocular procedures).
* Corneal trauma, infection, or inflammation affecting endothelial integrity.
* Coexisting ocular pathologies that could confound postoperative assessment (e.g., advanced glaucoma, macular degeneration).
Minimum Eligible Age

40 Years

Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sponsors

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Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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Francisco Arnalich-Montiel

Lead investigator of the Ophtalmology department

Responsibility Role PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Locations

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Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, Universidad de Alcalá, Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria (IRYCIS)

Madrid, Madrid, Spain

Site Status RECRUITING

Countries

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Spain

Central Contacts

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Francisco Arnalich-Montiel, PhD

Role: CONTACT

+34 913368853

Facility Contacts

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Francisco Arnalich Montiel, PhD

Role: primary

+34 913368853

David Mingo-Botin, PhD

Role: backup

+34 913368853

References

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Arnalich-Montiel F, de-Arriba-Palomero P, Muriel A, Mingo-Botin D. A Risk Prediction Model for Endothelial Keratoplasty After Uncomplicated Cataract Surgery in Fuchs Endothelial Corneal Dystrophy. Am J Ophthalmol. 2021 Nov;231:70-78. doi: 10.1016/j.ajo.2021.04.016. Epub 2021 May 2.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 33951443 (View on PubMed)

Other Identifiers

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PI22/01252

Identifier Type: OTHER_GRANT

Identifier Source: secondary_id

SUCCESS-FUCHS

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

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