Predictive Model for Postoperative Mortality

NCT ID: NCT02947789

Last Updated: 2017-05-11

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

COMPLETED

Total Enrollment

740 participants

Study Classification

OBSERVATIONAL

Study Start Date

2016-09-30

Study Completion Date

2017-02-28

Brief Summary

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Surgery has risk of morbidity and mortality. Risk factors include: patient factors; surgical factors; and anesthetic factors. The risk is much higher in emergency cases. The study of relevant risk factors can lead to improvement in patient management and reduction in mortality.

Detailed Description

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Objective: To identify risk factors for postoperative mortality within 3 days in adult patients undergoing emergency surgery and construct a predictive model.

Methods: This will be a retrospective, exploratory and analytical study. All medical records of adult patients undergoing emergency surgery between January 2013 to December 2014 will be used to analyze for relevant risk factors using binary logistic regression analysis. A predictive model to predict postoperative morbidity within 3 days will be constructed.

Conditions

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Postoperative Complications

Study Design

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Observational Model Type

COHORT

Study Time Perspective

RETROSPECTIVE

Study Groups

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Postoperative mortality within 3 days

Group 1: Patients undergoing emergency surgery with postoperative mortality within 3 days Group 2: Patients undergoing emergency surgery without postoperative mortality within 3 days

Emergency surgery

Intervention Type PROCEDURE

Patients undergoing emergency surgery

Interventions

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Emergency surgery

Patients undergoing emergency surgery

Intervention Type PROCEDURE

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* Emergency surgery
* Age =\> 18 years

Exclusion Criteria

* Caesarean section
* Incomplete medical record
Minimum Eligible Age

18 Years

Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sponsors

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Khon Kaen University

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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Thepakorn Sathitkarnmanee

Associate Professor

Responsibility Role PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Principal Investigators

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Sirirat Tribuddharat, MD

Role: PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand

Locations

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Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University

Khon Kaen, , Thailand

Site Status

Countries

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Thailand

References

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Akinbami F, Askari R, Steinberg J, Panizales M, Rogers SO Jr. Factors affecting morbidity in emergency general surgery. Am J Surg. 2011 Apr;201(4):456-62. doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2010.11.007.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 21421099 (View on PubMed)

Fukuda N, Wada J, Niki M, Sugiyama Y, Mushiake H. Factors predicting mortality in emergency abdominal surgery in the elderly. World J Emerg Surg. 2012 May 11;7(1):12. doi: 10.1186/1749-7922-7-12.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 22578159 (View on PubMed)

Ingraham AM, Cohen ME, Bilimoria KY, Raval MV, Ko CY, Nathens AB, Hall BL. Comparison of 30-day outcomes after emergency general surgery procedures: potential for targeted improvement. Surgery. 2010 Aug;148(2):217-38. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2010.05.009.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 20633727 (View on PubMed)

Matsuyama T, Iranami H, Fujii K, Inoue M, Nakagawa R, Kawashima K. Risk factors for postoperative mortality and morbidities in emergency surgeries. J Anesth. 2013 Dec;27(6):838-43. doi: 10.1007/s00540-013-1639-z. Epub 2013 May 23.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 23700220 (View on PubMed)

Wilson I, Paul Barrett M, Sinha A, Chan S. Predictors of in-hospital mortality amongst octogenarians undergoing emergency general surgery: a retrospective cohort study. Int J Surg. 2014 Nov;12(11):1157-61. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2014.08.404. Epub 2014 Sep 16.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 25229887 (View on PubMed)

Other Identifiers

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HE581131

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

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