Machine Learning to Predict Lymph Node Metastasis in T1 Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

NCT ID: NCT06256185

Last Updated: 2024-02-13

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

COMPLETED

Clinical Phase

NA

Total Enrollment

1267 participants

Study Classification

INTERVENTIONAL

Study Start Date

2010-01-15

Study Completion Date

2023-07-15

Brief Summary

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Existing models do poorly when it comes to quantifying the risk of Lymph node metastases (LNM). This study generated elastic net regression (ELR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and a combined (ensemble) model of these for LNM in patients with T1 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Detailed Description

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Lymph node metastases (LNM) is a relatively uncommon but possible complication of T1 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Existing models do poorly when it comes to quantifying this risk. This study aimed to develop a machine learning model for LNM in patients with T1 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Patients with T1 squamous cell carcinoma treated with surgery between January 2010 and September 2021 from 3 institutions were included in this study. Machine-learning models were developed using data on patients' age and sex, depth of tumor invasion, tumor size, tumor location, macroscopic tumor type, lymphatic and vascular invasion, and histologic grade. Elastic net regression (ELR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and a combined (ensemble) model of these was generated. Use Area Under Curve (AUC) to evaluate the predictive ability of the model. The contribution to the model of each factor was calculated. In order to better meet clinical needs, the investigators have designed the model as a user-friendly website.

Conditions

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Lymph Node Metastasis

Study Design

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Allocation Method

NA

Intervention Model

SINGLE_GROUP

Primary Study Purpose

DIAGNOSTIC

Blinding Strategy

NONE

Study Groups

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Arm used for predicting lymph node metastasis

Group Type EXPERIMENTAL

esophagectomy

Intervention Type PROCEDURE

Resection of esophageal tumor and lymph node dissection

Interventions

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esophagectomy

Resection of esophageal tumor and lymph node dissection

Intervention Type PROCEDURE

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* (I) thoracic ESCC
* (II) no history of concomitant or prior malignancy
* (III) tumor with pT1 staging
* (IV) 15 or more lymph nodes examined

Exclusion Criteria

* underwent neoadjuvant treatment or endoscopic submucosal dissection before surgery
Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sponsors

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Shanghai Zhongshan Hospital

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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Responsibility Role SPONSOR

Locations

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Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University

Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, China

Site Status

Countries

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China

References

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Provided Documents

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Document Type: Statistical Analysis Plan

View Document

Other Identifiers

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81902396

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

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