A Systems Approach to Predict the Outcome of SARS-CoV-2 in the Population of a City; COVID-19

NCT ID: NCT04351503

Last Updated: 2024-05-09

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

Get a concise snapshot of the trial, including recruitment status, study phase, enrollment targets, and key timeline milestones.

Recruitment Status

COMPLETED

Total Enrollment

126586 participants

Study Classification

OBSERVATIONAL

Study Start Date

2020-04-09

Study Completion Date

2022-07-31

Brief Summary

Review the sponsor-provided synopsis that highlights what the study is about and why it is being conducted.

This study is to gain critical knowledge to understand the factors influencing the outcome of a pandemic virus within the city of Basel.

Detailed Description

Dive into the extended narrative that explains the scientific background, objectives, and procedures in greater depth.

In order to evaluate the impact of the new SARS-CoV-2 this study analyzes the clinical outcomes of patients with a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection using a systems approach. The objective is to integrate various datasets covering clinical and non-clinical variables. Beside host factors such as age, gender, comorbidities and treatments, microbiological factors, such as SARS-CoV-2 viral loads using a (semi)-quantitative nucleic acid test (QNAT), genome sequences, and virus-specific immune responses are included. In addition, epidemiological aspects within the city, such as case numbers in specific areas and resulting saturation of the healthcare system (e.g. patients being hospitalized, and ICU occupancy), will be analyzed. Further epidemiological data will be generated from biological measurements from all available serum and respiratory samples (leftover material) collected from February 2020 to November 2021 over two seasons as it is likely that a second wave will be circulating in the following winter 2020/2021.

In this project, three retrospective studies will be conducted:

Study A: retrospective observational case-control study to predict the clinical outcomes and features of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The clinical outcomes of SARSCoV-2 infected patients (cases) and non-SARS-CoV-2 infected patients with or without other respiratory viruses (control) will be explored.

Study B: retrospective observational epidemiological surveillance study to describe the epidemiology of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak; description of the epidemiological spread of the new SARS-CoV-2 virus in people living in Basel.

Study C: retrospective observational viral evolution study whereby respiratory materials and matching blood and tissue materials will be used to perform whole genome sequencing to study pathogen evolution between hosts as well as in-host evolution. No additional material will be collected. Virus genomes obtained during the expanding, peak, and contracting phase of the pandemic will be compared to identify predictors of viral evolution, viral loads, majority species, immune escape variants, and the implications for clinical outcome, diagnostic detection, treatment, and vaccine design. Correlating specifically the occurrence and rate and variants of SARS-CoV-2 re-infections in city blocks of high activity and exposure risk will be of interest.

Study D: retrospective observational treatment outcome study whereby clinical outcome, laboratory, radiological, pulmonary function and virological data as well as data on immune responses will be used to study safety and efficacy of different treatment modalities. All data and material will be collected on a routine basis during hospitalization and in the outpatient setting to assess the safety and effect of different treatment modalities on outcome.

Conditions

See the medical conditions and disease areas that this research is targeting or investigating.

SARS Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Infection

Study Design

Understand how the trial is structured, including allocation methods, masking strategies, primary purpose, and other design elements.

Observational Model Type

OTHER

Study Time Perspective

RETROSPECTIVE

Study Groups

Review each arm or cohort in the study, along with the interventions and objectives associated with them.

SARSCoV-infected patients (cases)

Study A

Intervention Type OTHER

Study A: collection of data of clinical outcomes and features of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Demographical, clinical, microbiological, laboratory, epidemiological and hospital-associated data will be analyzed. For this study part, only patients with a visit at the University Hospital Basel will be included in order to access patient charts.

Study B

Intervention Type OTHER

Study B: collection of epidemiological surveillance data to describe the epidemiology of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak. The epidemic transmission of Influenza viruses in the City of Basel serves as an important reference to identify similarities and differences to the pandemic SARS-CoV-2 situation. In addition data collected during the Influenza projects - in particular data on statistical blocks of the city, e.g. population density, income and living space will be re-used. Already collected and stored samples such as serum and respiratory material (leftover material) will be (re-) used.

Study C

Intervention Type OTHER

Study C: data collection for viral evolution. Respiratory materials and matching blood and tissue materials will be used to perform whole genome sequencing to study pathogen evolution between hosts as well as in-host evolution. No additional material will be collected.

Study D

Intervention Type OTHER

Study D: collection of safety and efficacy data of different treatment modalities. Currently the following treatments are considered as part of the treatment:

1. Lopinavir/Ritonavir
2. Hydroxychloroquine
3. Tocilizumab
4. Eculizumab
5. Ruxolitinib
6. Remdesivir
7. Treatment with convalescent plasma blood count, blood chemistry and pulmonary function test (collected on a routine basis during hospitalization and in the outpatient setting).

non-SARS-CoV-2 infected patients (control)

non-SARS-CoV-2 infected patients with or without other respiratory viruses (control).

Study A

Intervention Type OTHER

Study A: collection of data of clinical outcomes and features of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Demographical, clinical, microbiological, laboratory, epidemiological and hospital-associated data will be analyzed. For this study part, only patients with a visit at the University Hospital Basel will be included in order to access patient charts.

Interventions

Learn about the drugs, procedures, or behavioral strategies being tested and how they are applied within this trial.

Study A

Study A: collection of data of clinical outcomes and features of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Demographical, clinical, microbiological, laboratory, epidemiological and hospital-associated data will be analyzed. For this study part, only patients with a visit at the University Hospital Basel will be included in order to access patient charts.

Intervention Type OTHER

Study B

Study B: collection of epidemiological surveillance data to describe the epidemiology of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak. The epidemic transmission of Influenza viruses in the City of Basel serves as an important reference to identify similarities and differences to the pandemic SARS-CoV-2 situation. In addition data collected during the Influenza projects - in particular data on statistical blocks of the city, e.g. population density, income and living space will be re-used. Already collected and stored samples such as serum and respiratory material (leftover material) will be (re-) used.

Intervention Type OTHER

Study C

Study C: data collection for viral evolution. Respiratory materials and matching blood and tissue materials will be used to perform whole genome sequencing to study pathogen evolution between hosts as well as in-host evolution. No additional material will be collected.

Intervention Type OTHER

Study D

Study D: collection of safety and efficacy data of different treatment modalities. Currently the following treatments are considered as part of the treatment:

1. Lopinavir/Ritonavir
2. Hydroxychloroquine
3. Tocilizumab
4. Eculizumab
5. Ruxolitinib
6. Remdesivir
7. Treatment with convalescent plasma blood count, blood chemistry and pulmonary function test (collected on a routine basis during hospitalization and in the outpatient setting).

Intervention Type OTHER

Eligibility Criteria

Check the participation requirements, including inclusion and exclusion rules, age limits, and whether healthy volunteers are accepted.

Inclusion Criteria

* Study A: All patients being tested for SARS-CoV-2 at the University Hospital Basel (USB) and with residency in Basel (Basel-Stadt, Riehen, and Bettingen) will be included for clinical outcome evaluation. All age groups will be included. In addition, non-clinical data such as epidemiological and hospital associated data of all people living in Basel but not necessarily tested at the University Hospital Basel will be included
* Study B: Epidemiological data and serum and respiratory samples across all Age groups from people with residency in Basel (Basel-Stadt, Riehen, and Bettingen) with and without confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection will be included
* Study C: SARS-CoV-2 viral genome analysis will be conducted from all patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 genome by NAT at the University Hospital Basel and living in Basel (Basel-Stadt, Riehen, and Bettingen). In addition, viral genome analysis will be conducted from all people tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 genome by NAT living in Basel by the mentioned study partners. All Age groups will be included.
* Patients with cleared SARS-CoV-2 infection coming for plasma donation will be included to describe immunological response after successfully cleared infection.

Exclusion Criteria

* documented refusal of the general consent or an available/known written or oral statement against Research
* People, who are tested at the USB, with residency outside of Basel (Basel-Stadt, Riehen, and Bettingen)
Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

Yes

Sponsors

Meet the organizations funding or collaborating on the study and learn about their roles.

sciCORE University of Basel

UNKNOWN

Sponsor Role collaborator

Leonhard Med IT ETH Zurich

UNKNOWN

Sponsor Role collaborator

Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics

UNKNOWN

Sponsor Role collaborator

University Hospital, Basel, Switzerland

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

Identify the individual or organization who holds primary responsibility for the study information submitted to regulators.

Responsibility Role SPONSOR

Principal Investigators

Learn about the lead researchers overseeing the trial and their institutional affiliations.

Adrian Egli, Prof. Dr. med.

Role: PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Division of Clinical Bacteriology & Mycology, University Hospital Basel

Locations

Explore where the study is taking place and check the recruitment status at each participating site.

Viollier AG

Allschwil, , Switzerland

Site Status

University Hospital Basel

Basel, , Switzerland

Site Status

Biozentrum University of Basel

Basel, , Switzerland

Site Status

sciCore University of Basel

Basel, , Switzerland

Site Status

Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering ETH Zurich

Basel, , Switzerland

Site Status

Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics

Geneva, , Switzerland

Site Status

Countries

Review the countries where the study has at least one active or historical site.

Switzerland

References

Explore related publications, articles, or registry entries linked to this study.

Sava M, Sommer G, Daikeler T, Woischnig AK, Martinez AE, Leuzinger K, Hirsch HH, Erlanger T, Wiencierz A, Bassetti S, Tamm M, Tschudin-Sutter S, Stoeckle M, Pargger H, Siegemund M, Boss R, Zimmer G, Vu DL, Kaiser L, Dell-Kuster S, Weisser M, Battegay M, Hostettler K, Khanna N. Ninety-day outcome of patients with severe COVID-19 treated with tocilizumab - a single centre cohort study. Swiss Med Wkly. 2021 Aug 10;151:w20550. doi: 10.4414/smw.2021.20550. eCollection 2021 Aug 2.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 34375986 (View on PubMed)

Seth-Smith H, Vesenbeckh S, Egli A, Ott S. SARS-CoV-2 in an immunocompromised host: convalescent plasma therapy and viral evolution elucidated by whole genome sequencing. BMJ Case Rep. 2023 Dec 9;16(12):e255255. doi: 10.1136/bcr-2023-255255.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 38087481 (View on PubMed)

Peter JK, Wegner F, Gsponer S, Helfenstein F, Roloff T, Tarnutzer R, Grosheintz K, Back M, Schaubhut C, Wagner S, Seth-Smith HMB, Scotton P, Redondo M, Beckmann C, Stadler T, Salzmann A, Kurth H, Leuzinger K, Bassetti S, Bingisser R, Siegemund M, Weisser M, Battegay M, Sutter ST, Lebrand A, Hirsch HH, Fuchs S, Egli A. SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine Alpha and Delta Variant Breakthrough Infections Are Rare and Mild but Can Happen Relatively Early after Vaccination. Microorganisms. 2022 Apr 21;10(5):857. doi: 10.3390/microorganisms10050857.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 35630302 (View on PubMed)

Bruningk SC, Klatt J, Stange M, Mari A, Brunner M, Roloff TC, Seth-Smith HMB, Schweitzer M, Leuzinger K, Sogaard KK, Albertos Torres D, Gensch A, Schlotterbeck AK, Nickel CH, Ritz N, Heininger U, Bielicki J, Rentsch K, Fuchs S, Bingisser R, Siegemund M, Pargger H, Ciardo D, Dubuis O, Buser A, Tschudin-Sutter S, Battegay M, Schneider-Sliwa R, Borgwardt KM, Hirsch HH, Egli A. Determinants of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to guide vaccination strategy in an urban area. Virus Evol. 2022 Mar 17;8(1):veac002. doi: 10.1093/ve/veac002. eCollection 2022.

Reference Type RESULT
PMID: 35310621 (View on PubMed)

Stange M, Mari A, Roloff T, Seth-Smith HM, Schweitzer M, Brunner M, Leuzinger K, Sogaard KK, Gensch A, Tschudin-Sutter S, Fuchs S, Bielicki J, Pargger H, Siegemund M, Nickel CH, Bingisser R, Osthoff M, Bassetti S, Schneider-Sliwa R, Battegay M, Hirsch HH, Egli A. SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a tri-national urban area is dominated by a B.1 lineage variant linked to a mass gathering event. PLoS Pathog. 2021 Mar 19;17(3):e1009374. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1009374. eCollection 2021 Mar.

Reference Type DERIVED
PMID: 33740028 (View on PubMed)

Other Identifiers

Review additional registry numbers or institutional identifiers associated with this trial.

2020-00769; qu20Egli2

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

More Related Trials

Additional clinical trials that may be relevant based on similarity analysis.