Pancreatic Disease Burden in Older Adults (1990-2040)

NCT ID: NCT07177599

Last Updated: 2025-09-17

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

COMPLETED

Total Enrollment

723415 participants

Study Classification

OBSERVATIONAL

Study Start Date

1990-01-01

Study Completion Date

2025-09-11

Brief Summary

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Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, the investigators analyzed age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for pancreatic cancer and pancreatitis in adults aged ≥70 years across 204 countries and territories, stratified by sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), health system performance, and region. The investigators calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), applied age-period-cohort modelling, and used Bayesian models to project future burden. Attributable burdens for key risk factors were also estimated.

Detailed Description

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Conditions

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Pancreatic Cancer Pancreatitis

Study Design

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Observational Model Type

COHORT

Study Time Perspective

PROSPECTIVE

Study Groups

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Pancreatic Cancer

Natural history

Intervention Type BIOLOGICAL

Natural history of pancreatic diseases

Pancreatitis

Natural history

Intervention Type BIOLOGICAL

Natural history of pancreatic diseases

Interventions

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Natural history

Natural history of pancreatic diseases

Intervention Type BIOLOGICAL

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* Diagnosis with pancreatic cancer or pancreatitis
* Diagnosis in 1990 through 2021
* Age 70+ years

Exclusion Criteria

* Age \<70 years
* Other non-pancreatic diseases
Minimum Eligible Age

70 Years

Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sponsors

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Changhai Hospital

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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Huang Hai

Prof. Dr.

Responsibility Role PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Other Identifiers

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GePCPS-01

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

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