Planning for Frailty: Optimal Health and Social Care Workforce Organisation Using Demand-led Simulation Modelling
NCT ID: NCT05963360
Last Updated: 2025-05-04
Study Results
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Basic Information
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ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING
50000 participants
OBSERVATIONAL
2022-11-01
2025-10-31
Brief Summary
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Detailed Description
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Aims \& Objectives: The aim of the study is to use simulation modelling to explore long-term trends in frailty-related health and social care use in the ageing population and its implications for future workforce size and competencies to support high quality care. The primary objective of this study is the creation of a simulation model that will inform service and workforce planning to meet health and social care needs associated with frailty.
Methods: The study will use a System Dynamics design to develop and test the simulation model.
Work packages comprise a scoping review, gathering of public and professional perspectives on service provision via a survey and stakeholder engagement activities, and analysis of linked health and social care data, all of which inform the simulation modelling work package and development of a workforce planning toolkit.
Timelines for delivery: The scoping review will be completed in year 1. Routine health and social care data specification and extraction will occur in year 1, as will service mapping and classification and survey preparation. Survey data collection and analysis will occur in year 2. Simulation modelling will commence in year 2, with validation, sensitivity analyses and scenario modelling in year 3.
Development of workforce guidelines and toolkit will occur in year 3 Stakeholder engagement, including patient public involvement, will run throughout the study, reviewing study results and informing development of the other work packages.
Anticipated impact \& dissemination: This study will provide new, direct evidence about the impact of frailty on health and social care workforce requirements within the ageing population The improved understanding of workforce requirements offered by this study will inform workforce planning for frailty services across health and social care, ensuring future benefit for patients through provision of timely and appropriate care and a workforce planning toolkit to support local decision-making.
Conditions
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Study Design
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COHORT
RETROSPECTIVE
Study Groups
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Frailty in Older people
Older people, 50 and above.
No interventions assigned to this group
Eligibility Criteria
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Exclusion Criteria
50 Years
ALL
No
Sponsors
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Bournemouth University
OTHER
Tameside Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
OTHER
Southern Health NHS Foundation Trust
OTHER
University of Southampton
OTHER
Responsible Party
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Principal Investigators
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Bronagh M Walsh/Professor, PhD
Role: PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR
University of Southampton
Locations
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University of Southampton
Southampton, , United Kingdom
Countries
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Related Links
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Funder website
Other Identifiers
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71937
Identifier Type: -
Identifier Source: org_study_id
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