Trial Outcomes & Findings for A Clinical Risk Score for Early Management of TB in Uganda (NCT NCT05122624)

NCT ID: NCT05122624

Last Updated: 2024-07-23

Results Overview

The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days during post-implementation 'minus' The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days during pre-implementation

Recruitment status

COMPLETED

Study phase

NA

Target enrollment

3332 participants

Primary outcome timeframe

Up to 12 months post intervention

Results posted on

2024-07-23

Participant Flow

The study was initially conducted in eight primary health clinics (four clinics in the intervention arm and the other four clinics in the control arm). During the study, a total of three clinics (two in the intervention arm and one in the control arm) were replaced with other facilities of similar size and location for the remainder of the study period, resulting in 11 participating clinics.

Unit of analysis: Clinics

Participant milestones

Participant milestones
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Overall Study
STARTED
1826 6
1506 5
Overall Study
COMPLETED
1826 6
1506 5
Overall Study
NOT COMPLETED
0 0
0 0

Reasons for withdrawal

Withdrawal data not reported

Baseline Characteristics

One missing in sex at control arm

Baseline characteristics by cohort

Baseline characteristics by cohort
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=6 Clinics
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
n=5 Clinics
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Total
n=11 Clinics
Total of all reporting groups
Age, Continuous
36 years
n=1826 Participants
35 years
n=1506 Participants
36 years
n=3332 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
1077 Participants
n=1826 Participants • One missing in sex at control arm
834 Participants
n=1505 Participants • One missing in sex at control arm
1911 Participants
n=3331 Participants • One missing in sex at control arm
Sex: Female, Male
Male
749 Participants
n=1826 Participants • One missing in sex at control arm
671 Participants
n=1505 Participants • One missing in sex at control arm
1420 Participants
n=3331 Participants • One missing in sex at control arm
Race and Ethnicity Not Collected
0 Participants
Race and Ethnicity were not collected from any participant.
Region of Enrollment
Uganda
1826 Participants
n=1826 Participants
1506 Participants
n=1506 Participants
3332 Participants
n=3332 Participants
HIV status
Positive
857 Participants
n=1826 Participants
684 Participants
n=1506 Participants
1541 Participants
n=3332 Participants
HIV status
Negative
760 Participants
n=1826 Participants
741 Participants
n=1506 Participants
1501 Participants
n=3332 Participants
HIV status
Unknown/Missing
209 Participants
n=1826 Participants
81 Participants
n=1506 Participants
290 Participants
n=3332 Participants
Sputum specimen submitted
1348 Participants
n=1826 Participants
1007 Participants
n=1506 Participants
2355 Participants
n=3332 Participants
Microbiologically confirmed TB
173 Participants
n=1826 Participants
138 Participants
n=1506 Participants
311 Participants
n=3332 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: Up to 12 months post intervention

Population: This outcome includes individuals who were diagnosed with tuberculosis.

The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days during post-implementation 'minus' The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days during pre-implementation

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=1036 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
n=574 Participants
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Difference in 7-day Treatment Initiation From Pre-implementation to Post-implementation
1 percentage of participants
Interval -6.0 to 8.0
-13 percentage of participants
Interval -22.0 to -5.0

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: Up to 12 months

Population: This outcome includes individuals who presented TB symptoms. This outcome is relevant to intervention arm only.

Percentage of patients who initiated same-day treatment divided by the number of patients who had a higher PredicTB score than the clinic-specific score of treatment threshold in the post-implementation period in intervention arm

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=229 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Implementation: Percentage of Encountered Patients at Intervention Arm Who Initiated the Same-day Treatment Based on PredicTB Score as Indicated
46 percentage of participants

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Months 0 - 12

Population: Data was not collected.

(cost of implementing PredicTB - cost of standard of care)/(projected disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in standard of care - projected DALYs with PredicTB)

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 12 Months

Population: This outcome includes individuals who were diagnosed with tuberculosis.

The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who died of any cause in the post-implementation "minus" The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who died of any cause in the pre-implementation

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=1036 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
n=574 Participants
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Difference in TB Mortality From Pre-implementation to Post-implementation
-1 percentage of participants
Interval -4.0 to 1.0
-1 percentage of participants
Interval -6.0 to 5.0

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: 12 Months

Population: This outcome includes individuals who were diagnosed with tuberculosis.

The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who were lost to follow-up in the post-implementation "minus" The percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who were lost to follow-up in the pre-implementation

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=1036 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
n=574 Participants
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Difference in Loss to Care From Pre-implementation To Post-implementation
1 percentage of participants
Interval -3.0 to 2.0
1 percentage of participants
Interval -5.0 to 3.0

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Up to 12 months post-implementation

Population: This outcome includes individuals who were diagnosed with tuberculosis.

Difference in the percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days from post-implementation to pre-implementation at intervention arm "minus" Difference in the percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within 7 days from post-implementation to pre-implementation at comparison arm

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=1036 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
n=574 Participants
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Difference in Percentage of Participants With Microbiologically Confirmed TB
14 percentage of participants
Interval 10.0 to 19.0
0 percentage of participants
Interval 0.0 to 0.0

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Up to 12 months

Population: This outcome includes individuals who presented TB symptoms. This outcome is relevant to intervention arm only.

Percentage of patients who were administered (or evaluated) by PredicTB score among those who presented presumptive TB symptoms at clinics in the post-implementation period in intervention arm

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=1826 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Reach: Percentage of Patients Who Were Administered (or Evaluated) by PredicTB Score
66 percentage of participants

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Month 18

Population: This outcome analysis is relevant to intervention arm only. Per protocol, healthcare providers were not considered enrolled.

Percentage of providers using PredicTB in over 50% of encounters in which sputum is submitted for pulmonary TB diagnosis among those seeing \>5 patients who submit sputum for diagnosis of pulmonary TB

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=17 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Adoption: Percentage of Providers Adopting PredicTB
100 percentage of providers

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Up to 12 months

Population: This outcome is relevant to intervention arm only

Percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within seven days in the post-implementation phase at intervention arm "minus" Percentage of participants with microbiologically confirmed TB who initiated treatment within seven days in the post-implementation phase at intervention arm

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Score Intervention Arm
n=165 Participants
The PredicTB score will be implemented in this arm. PredicTB score: This is an easy-to-use clinical risk score designed to improve early management of tuberculosis in highly resource-constrained settings where same-day microbiological testing is unavailable. It consists of readily accessible demographic and clinical data and is scored from 1-10. We will train clinic staff in eight clinics (four study clinics and four comparison clinics) on the Ugandan standard of care for the diagnosis and treatment of TB. In addition, in the four study clinics, we will provide training on the PredicTB score.
Control Arm
The standard of care will be conducted in this arm.
Maintenance: Change in Effectiveness Over Time in the Post-implementation Phase at Intervention Arm
-16 percentage of participants
Interval -31.0 to 1.0

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Month 12

Population: Data was not collected.

Modeled hypothetical, expected changes in mortality at year 5, comparing simulations in which PredicTB is implemented to those in which PredicTB is not implemented, using a Markov state-transition model

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

Adverse Events

Score Intervention Arm

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 12 deaths

Control Arm

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 17 deaths

Serious adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Other adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Additional Information

Dr. Yeonsoo Baik

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Phone: 410-955-2378

Results disclosure agreements

  • Principal investigator is a sponsor employee
  • Publication restrictions are in place