Risk Stratification of Hepatocarcinogenesis Using a Deep Learning Based Clinical, Biological and Ultrasound Model in High-risk Patients

NCT ID: NCT04802954

Last Updated: 2024-12-18

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

COMPLETED

Clinical Phase

NA

Total Enrollment

400 participants

Study Classification

INTERVENTIONAL

Study Start Date

2021-09-01

Study Completion Date

2024-02-14

Brief Summary

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By 2030, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) will become the second leading cause of cancer-related death, accounting for more than one million deaths per year according to the World Health Organization.

To this date, screening for hepatocellular carcinoma in France remains uniform for all patients, based solely on a liver ultrasound every 6 months. This strategy has three main limitations: lack of personalisation, low compliance, relatively poor performance of the ultrasound.

Risk stratification models have been developed for chronic hepatitis C, alcoholic cirrhosis and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) including clinical and biological parameters but no analysis of the liver parenchyma which is the physiopathological substrate of hepatocarcinogenesis.

The advent of new artificial intelligence techniques could revolutionize the approach and lead to a personalised radiological screening strategy.

Deep learning, a subclass of machine learning, is a popular area of research that can help humans performing certain tasks by automatically identifying new image features not defined by humans.

The hypothesis of this study is that the non-tumor cirrhotic liver parenchyma is rich in structural information reflecting the severity of the hepatopathy, its carcinological risk and the process of hepatocarcinogenesis. Its analysis combined with clinical and biological data, which have already been studied to stratify the risk of hepatocarcinogenesis, will allow to define a very high-risk population, particularly in the context of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) eradication and Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) control.

Consequently, this study proposes to design prospectively a deep learning model for stratification of the risk of hepatocarcinogenesis by including clinical, biological and radiological ultrasound parameters.

Detailed Description

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By 2030, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) will become the second leading cause of cancer-related death, accounting for more than one million deaths per year according to the World Health Organization.

To this date, screening for hepatocellular carcinoma in France remains uniform for all patients, based solely on a liver ultrasound every 6 months. This scheme has the advantage of associating an acceptable cost-effectiveness ratio and, above all, of obtaining an increased overall survival. However, this strategy has three main limitations: lack of personalisation, low compliance, relatively poor performance of the ultrasound.

Risk stratification models have been developed for chronic hepatitis C, alcoholic cirrhosis and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) including clinical (age, sex, body mass index and diabetes) and biological (ASAT/ALAT, platelets, albumin) parameters. However, they didn't include analysis of the liver parenchyma which is the physiopathological substrate of hepatocarcinogenesis. In the 1990s, several authors studied the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma according to the liver echostructure. They agreed on the over-risk represented by a nodular heterogeneous echostructure with an estimated rate ratio of up to 20.

However, all these results have not yet led to a personalised radiological screening strategy. The advent of new artificial intelligence techniques could revolutionize the approach.

Deep learning, a subclass of machine learning, is a popular area of research that can help humans performing certain tasks. Unlike radiomics, deep learning can automatically identify new image features not defined by humans.

The hypothesis of this study is that the non-tumor cirrhotic liver parenchyma is rich in structural information reflecting the severity of the hepatopathy, its carcinological risk and the process of hepatocarcinogenesis. Its analysis combined with clinical and biological data, which have already been studied to stratify the risk of hepatocarcinogenesis, will allow to define a very high-risk population, particularly in the context of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) eradication and Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) control.

Consequently, this study proposes to design prospectively a deep learning model for stratification of the risk of hepatocarcinogenesis by including clinical, biological and radiological ultrasound parameters. The primary objective of the study is to identify a population at very high risk of developing hepatocarcinoma in order to propose different screening modalities to the patients most at risk.

This clinical study will include patients aged over 18 years referred by their hepatologist in the framework of ultrasound screening according to the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) recommendations for hepatocellular carcinoma screening, except for non-cirrhotic HBV liver disease: non-cirrhotic F3-stage liver disease from any cause based on individual risk assessment for hepatocarcinoma; cirrhosis from any cause, non-viral or virologically cured (HCV) or controlled (HBV). Patients with a history of treated hepatocellular carcinoma will be excluded.

Two groups of patients will be constituted prospectively: group 1 will include patients with a diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma greater than 1 cm (reference diagnostic standards: radiological or histological). These patients will therefore correspond to a very high-risk; Group 2 will include patients without hepatocellular carcinoma, thus corresponding to a lower risk. A 1 year-interval ultrasound will be performed in patients of group 2 to confirm the absence of new nodule in the year following inclusion. The proportion of new hepatocellular carcinoma should not exceed 3%.

The data collected will be clinical, biological, elastographic and ultrasonic parameters.

A Deep Learning model using a deep convolutional neural network architecture will be developed on Python using these data.

On a total of 7 investigation sites, 300 patients (equitably distributed between the two groups) will be included in the training/validation cohort and 100 patients (equitably distributed between the two groups) in the test cohort. These numbers are calculated from ultrasound studies reporting a rate ratio of HCC risk of up to 20 in case of macronodular ultrasound pattern and Deep Learning requirements (large numbers needed).

The training/validation and test cohorts will be from external and independent centres.

The diagnostic performance of the model will be estimated by Area Under the Curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and F1-score (95% confidence intervals) on the test cohort.

Conditions

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Hepatocellular Carcinoma Chronic Liver Disease

Keywords

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Hepatocellular Carcinoma Cirrhosis Deep Learning Convolutional Neural Network Ultrasound

Study Design

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Allocation Method

NON_RANDOMIZED

Intervention Model

PARALLEL

Primary Study Purpose

DIAGNOSTIC

Blinding Strategy

NONE

Study Groups

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High risk group

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma greater than 1 cm in size. All patients from an ultrasound screening programme who have been diagnosed with a nodule larger than 1 cm and referred to our centres will be included in this group. They will then be excluded of this group if the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma is not retained according to the radiological or histological reference diagnostic standards (gold standard).

Group Type EXPERIMENTAL

Video acquisition

Intervention Type OTHER

One to three video acquisitions of 10 seconds will be carried out via the intercostal route. Data acquisition will be standardized according to a mandatory protocol and previously recorded in each ultrasound machine (cross shots, harmonic, filter, depth, focal length, mechanical index, etc.).

Low risk group

Patients without hepatocellular carcinoma. A 1-year interval ultrasound will be performed to confirm the absence of new nodule in the year following inclusion.

Group Type EXPERIMENTAL

Video acquisition

Intervention Type OTHER

One to three video acquisitions of 10 seconds will be carried out via the intercostal route. Data acquisition will be standardized according to a mandatory protocol and previously recorded in each ultrasound machine (cross shots, harmonic, filter, depth, focal length, mechanical index, etc.).

Interventions

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Video acquisition

One to three video acquisitions of 10 seconds will be carried out via the intercostal route. Data acquisition will be standardized according to a mandatory protocol and previously recorded in each ultrasound machine (cross shots, harmonic, filter, depth, focal length, mechanical index, etc.).

Intervention Type OTHER

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* Men or women over 18 years of age.
* Patients referred by their hepatologist within the framework of ultrasound screening according to the EASL hepato-cellular carcinoma screening recommendations.
* Non-cirrhotic F3 hepatopathy of any cause according to an individual assessment of the risk of hepatocarcinoma.
* Cirrhosis from any cause, non viral or virologically cured (HCV) or controlled (HBV).
* Patient with hepatopathy proven by histological evidence or confirmed by an expert committee based on clinical, biological, ultrasound (hepato-cellular insufficiency, portal hypertension) and elastographic criteria.
* Patient able to receive and understand the information relating to the study and to give his/her written informed consent.
* Patient affiliated to the French social security system.

Exclusion Criteria

* History of hepatocarcinoma
* Patient with non-cirrhotic viral B hepatopathy or uncontrolled (HBV) or uncured (HCV) viral cirrhosis.
* Patient under protection of justice, guardianship or trusteeship.
* Patient in a situation of social fragility.
* Patient subject to legal protection or unable to express consent
Minimum Eligible Age

18 Years

Eligible Sex

ALL

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

No

Sponsors

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IHU Strasbourg

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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Responsibility Role SPONSOR

Principal Investigators

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Jérémy DANA, MD

Role: PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

IHU Strasbourg

Locations

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CHU Angers

Angers, , France

Site Status

Hôpital Avicenne

Bobigny, , France

Site Status

Hôpital Beaujon

Clichy, , France

Site Status

Hospices Civils de Lyon, Hôpital Edouard Herriot

Lyon, , France

Site Status

Groupement Hospitalier Nord, Hôpital de la Croix-Rousse

Lyon, , France

Site Status

CHU Montpellier

Montpellier, , France

Site Status

Countries

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France

References

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Other Identifiers

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20-008

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id