What Are the Benefits and Harms of Risk Stratified Screening in the NHS Breast Screening Programme: Study Protocol

NCT ID: NCT04359420

Last Updated: 2023-01-10

Study Results

Results pending

The study team has not published outcome measurements, participant flow, or safety data for this trial yet. Check back later for updates.

Basic Information

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Recruitment Status

COMPLETED

Clinical Phase

NA

Total Enrollment

32298 participants

Study Classification

INTERVENTIONAL

Study Start Date

2019-08-01

Study Completion Date

2022-06-30

Brief Summary

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This study aims to identify key benefits and harms of integrating risk stratification (the BC-Predict intervention) into the NHS Breast Screening Programme. A non-randomised fully counterbalanced study design will be used, whereby women from screening sites will be offered usual NHS Breast Screening Programme or BC-Predict for an eight month period, followed by a cross-over point where women at each site will be offered the other invention during an eight month period.

Detailed Description

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In principle, risk-stratification as a routine part of the NHS breast screening programme (NHS-BSP) should produce a better balance of benefits and harms. The main benefit is the offer of NICE (National Institute of Health and Care Excellence) approved more frequent screening and/ or chemoprevention to be realised for women who are at increased risk, but are unaware of this. The invesigators have developed BC-Predict, which is offered to women when invited to NHS-BSP and collects information on risk factors (self-reported information on family history and hormone-related factors, mammographic density and in a sub-sample, Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms). BC-Predict then produces risk feedback letters, and invites women at moderate or high risk to have discussion of prevention and early detection options at Family History, Risk and Prevention Clinics. Key objectives of the present research are to quantify important potential benefits and harms, and to identify the key drivers of the relative cost-effectiveness of embedding BC-Predict into NHS-BSP.

A non-randomised fully counterbalanced study design will be used, to include equal numbers of participants from five screening sites who will be offered NHS-BSP and BC-Predict. Specifically, in the initial 8-month time period, women eligible for NHS-BSP in three screening sites will be offered BC-Predict, whilst women in two screening sites are offered usual NHS-BSP. In the following 8-month time period the study sites switch their offers. In total 16000 women will be invited to BC-Predict, and compared with 16000 women offered standard NHS-BSP. Key potential benefits including uptake of BC-Predict, risk consultations, chemoprevention and additional screening will be obtained from NHS-BSP and Family History, Risk and Prevention Clinic records for both groups. Key potential harms such as increased anxiety will be obtained via self-report questionnaires. Health economic analyses will identify the key uncertainties underpinning the relative cost-effectiveness of embedding BC-Predict into NHS-BSP.

Conditions

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Breast Cancer

Study Design

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Allocation Method

NON_RANDOMIZED

Intervention Model

SEQUENTIAL

A non-randomised fully counterbalanced study design will be used, to include equal numbers of participants from all sites who will be offered NHS-BSP and BC-Predict. Specifically, in the initial 8-month time period, women eligible for breast screening in three screening sites will be offered BC-Predict, whilst women in two screening sites are offered usual NHS-BSP. In the following 8-month time period the study sites switch to offer the other intervention (NHS-BSP rather than BC-Predict; and vice versa). This will allow estimates of effect to be obtained from both within-sample and between-sample analyses.
Primary Study Purpose

PREVENTION

Blinding Strategy

NONE

Study Groups

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BC-Predict

Women will be sent an invitation letter one to two days after their breast screening invitation letter, directing prospective participants to the online risk assessment platform. Once participants have consented to the study online, they will be directed to the BC-Predict risk assessment questionnaire. Assessment of the online questionnaire during the pilot phase estimated that most women would be able to complete this within 30 minutes.

Women who complete the questionnaire will receive 10-year breast cancer risk estimates once they have screened negative for breast cancer, based on the Tyrer-Cuzick model, incorporating mammographic density, and for some women, SNPs (single nucleotide polymorphisms). Women who are identified as being at "high" (\>8%) or "moderate" (5% and \<8%) 10-year risk will be offered a consultation to discuss prevention options including prescription of chemoprevention drugs and/ or more frequent mammography as part of the NHS Breast Screening Programme.

Group Type EXPERIMENTAL

BC-Predict

Intervention Type OTHER

BC-Predict is an automated system for offering an assessment of breast cancer risk to women when they receive their NHS Breast Screening Programme invitation, and generating letters to feedback this risk to women and relevant healthcare professionals. Women at higher risk are offered chemoprevention drugs and additional mammography

NHS-Breast Screening Programme

Usual care in the NHS Breast Screening Programme, which involves mammography every 3 years for the majority of women

Group Type ACTIVE_COMPARATOR

NHS Breast Screening Programme

Intervention Type OTHER

usual care from NHS Breast Screening Programme, consisting of mammography every three years for most women.

Interventions

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BC-Predict

BC-Predict is an automated system for offering an assessment of breast cancer risk to women when they receive their NHS Breast Screening Programme invitation, and generating letters to feedback this risk to women and relevant healthcare professionals. Women at higher risk are offered chemoprevention drugs and additional mammography

Intervention Type OTHER

NHS Breast Screening Programme

usual care from NHS Breast Screening Programme, consisting of mammography every three years for most women.

Intervention Type OTHER

Other Intervention Names

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risk stratified screening

Eligibility Criteria

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Inclusion Criteria

* born biologically female,
* invited for either (a) first breast screening appointment (any age) or: (b) aged 57-63 years (only at East Cheshire and East Lancashire breast screening programmes),
* able to provide informed consent and complete a risk assessment questionnaire.

Exclusion Criteria

* previously has had breast cancer,
* has had bilateral mastectomy, or
* has previously participated in the related PROCAS (Predicting Risk Of Cancer At Screening) study
Eligible Sex

FEMALE

Accepts Healthy Volunteers

Yes

Sponsors

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National Institute for Health Research, United Kingdom

OTHER_GOV

Sponsor Role collaborator

Breast Cancer Now

OTHER

Sponsor Role collaborator

Prevent Breast Cancer

UNKNOWN

Sponsor Role collaborator

Queen Mary University of London

OTHER

Sponsor Role collaborator

University of Nottingham

OTHER

Sponsor Role collaborator

Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust

OTHER_GOV

Sponsor Role collaborator

East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust

OTHER

Sponsor Role collaborator

East Cheshire NHS Trust

UNKNOWN

Sponsor Role collaborator

NHS Breast Screening Programme

UNKNOWN

Sponsor Role collaborator

The Christie NHS Foundation Trust

OTHER

Sponsor Role collaborator

University of Manchester

OTHER

Sponsor Role lead

Responsible Party

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David French

Prof David French

Responsibility Role PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Principal Investigators

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Gareth Evans, MD

Role: PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATOR

Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust

Locations

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Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust

Manchester, Greater Manchester, United Kingdom

Site Status

Countries

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United Kingdom

References

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Gareth Evans D, McWilliams L, Astley S, Brentnall AR, Cuzick J, Dobrashian R, Duffy SW, Gorman LS, Harkness EF, Harrison F, Harvie M, Jerrison A, Machin M, Maxwell AJ, Howell SJ, Wright SJ, Payne K, Qureshi N, Ruane H, Southworth J, Fox L, Bowers S, Hutchinson G, Thorpe E, Ulph F, Woof V, Howell A, French DP. Quantifying the effects of risk-stratified breast cancer screening when delivered in real time as routine practice versus usual screening: the BC-Predict non-randomised controlled study (NCT04359420). Br J Cancer. 2023 Jun;128(11):2063-2071. doi: 10.1038/s41416-023-02250-w. Epub 2023 Apr 1.

Reference Type DERIVED
PMID: 37005486 (View on PubMed)

Pegington M, Harvie M, Harkness EF, Brentnall A, Malcomson L, Southworth J, Fox J, Howell A, Cuzick J, Evans DG. Obesity at age 20 and weight gain during adulthood increase risk of total and premature all-cause mortality: findings from women attending breast screening in Manchester. BMC Womens Health. 2023 Jan 13;23(1):17. doi: 10.1186/s12905-023-02162-0.

Reference Type DERIVED
PMID: 36635680 (View on PubMed)

French DP, Astley S, Brentnall AR, Cuzick J, Dobrashian R, Duffy SW, Gorman LS, Harkness EF, Harrison F, Harvie M, Howell A, Jerrison A, Machin M, Maxwell AJ, McWilliams L, Payne K, Qureshi N, Ruane H, Sampson S, Stavrinos P, Thorpe E, Ulph F, van Staa T, Woof V, Evans DG. What are the benefits and harms of risk stratified screening as part of the NHS breast screening Programme? Study protocol for a multi-site non-randomised comparison of BC-predict versus usual screening (NCT04359420). BMC Cancer. 2020 Jun 18;20(1):570. doi: 10.1186/s12885-020-07054-2.

Reference Type DERIVED
PMID: 32552763 (View on PubMed)

Other Identifiers

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RP-PG-1214-20016

Identifier Type: -

Identifier Source: org_study_id

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