Trial Outcomes & Findings for Encouraging Flu Vaccination Among High-Risk Patients Identified by ML (NCT NCT04323137)

NCT ID: NCT04323137

Last Updated: 2024-12-30

Results Overview

Patient received a flu vaccination

Recruitment status

COMPLETED

Study phase

NA

Target enrollment

117649 participants

Primary outcome timeframe

Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Results posted on

2024-12-30

Participant Flow

Participant milestones

Participant milestones
Measure
Control
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Sub-threshold Patients
Patients in this group are in the top 11-20% of risk for flu and complications, slightly lower risk than those included in the intervention, who are in the top 10% of risk for flu and complications. This group of patients does not receive an intervention, but is monitored for flu shots as a comparison to target patients.
Household Members
This group of patients share an address with target high-risk patients (in arms 1-4). This group does not receive an intervention but is monitored for spillover effects of the intervention. Note that some household members of target patients were also sub-threshold risk. Additionally, some of these patients were household members of more than one target patient. The numbers reported here reflect unique household members who were not also sub-threshold risk patients.
Overall Study
STARTED
11667
11639
11652
11644
46898
24149
Overall Study
COMPLETED
11667
11639
11652
11644
46898
24149
Overall Study
NOT COMPLETED
0
0
0
0
0
0

Reasons for withdrawal

Withdrawal data not reported

Baseline Characteristics

Encouraging Flu Vaccination Among High-Risk Patients Identified by ML

Baseline characteristics by cohort

Baseline characteristics by cohort
Measure
Control
n=11667 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=11639 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=11652 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=11644 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Sub-threshold Patients
n=46898 Participants
Patients in this group are in the top 11-20% of risk for flu and complications, slightly lower risk than those included in the intervention, who are in the top 10% of risk for flu and complications. This group of patients does not receive an intervention, but is monitored for flu shots as a comparison to target patients.
Household Members
n=24149 Participants
This group of patients share an address with target high-risk patients (in arms 1-4). This group does not receive an intervention but is monitored for spillover effects of the intervention. Note that some household members of target patients were also sub-threshold risk. Additionally, some of these patients were household members of more than one target patient. The numbers reported here reflect unique household members who were not also sub-threshold risk patients.
Total
n=117649 Participants
Total of all reporting groups
Age, Continuous
58.0 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 19.3 • n=5 Participants
57.9 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 19.3 • n=7 Participants
57.9 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 19.2 • n=5 Participants
57.6 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 19.4 • n=4 Participants
55.7 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 19.5 • n=21 Participants
47.1 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 20 • n=8 Participants
54.8 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 19.9 • n=8 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
7535 Participants
n=5 Participants
7514 Participants
n=7 Participants
7533 Participants
n=5 Participants
7438 Participants
n=4 Participants
29226 Participants
n=21 Participants
10744 Participants
n=8 Participants
69990 Participants
n=8 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Male
4132 Participants
n=5 Participants
4125 Participants
n=7 Participants
4119 Participants
n=5 Participants
4206 Participants
n=4 Participants
17672 Participants
n=21 Participants
13405 Participants
n=8 Participants
47659 Participants
n=8 Participants
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB)
Hispanic or Latino
402 Participants
n=5 Participants
457 Participants
n=7 Participants
395 Participants
n=5 Participants
413 Participants
n=4 Participants
1684 Participants
n=21 Participants
1113 Participants
n=8 Participants
4464 Participants
n=8 Participants
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB)
Not Hispanic or Latino
11253 Participants
n=5 Participants
11159 Participants
n=7 Participants
11240 Participants
n=5 Participants
11207 Participants
n=4 Participants
45120 Participants
n=21 Participants
22777 Participants
n=8 Participants
112756 Participants
n=8 Participants
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB)
Unknown or Not Reported
12 Participants
n=5 Participants
23 Participants
n=7 Participants
17 Participants
n=5 Participants
24 Participants
n=4 Participants
94 Participants
n=21 Participants
259 Participants
n=8 Participants
429 Participants
n=8 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
American Indian or Alaska Native
22 Participants
n=5 Participants
21 Participants
n=7 Participants
15 Participants
n=5 Participants
22 Participants
n=4 Participants
47 Participants
n=21 Participants
32 Participants
n=8 Participants
159 Participants
n=8 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Asian
32 Participants
n=5 Participants
37 Participants
n=7 Participants
28 Participants
n=5 Participants
31 Participants
n=4 Participants
189 Participants
n=21 Participants
124 Participants
n=8 Participants
441 Participants
n=8 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
18 Participants
n=5 Participants
26 Participants
n=7 Participants
20 Participants
n=5 Participants
26 Participants
n=4 Participants
126 Participants
n=21 Participants
129 Participants
n=8 Participants
345 Participants
n=8 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Black or African American
362 Participants
n=5 Participants
382 Participants
n=7 Participants
389 Participants
n=5 Participants
416 Participants
n=4 Participants
1603 Participants
n=21 Participants
1116 Participants
n=8 Participants
4268 Participants
n=8 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
White
11223 Participants
n=5 Participants
11159 Participants
n=7 Participants
11194 Participants
n=5 Participants
11136 Participants
n=4 Participants
44859 Participants
n=21 Participants
22674 Participants
n=8 Participants
112245 Participants
n=8 Participants
Race/Ethnicity, Customized
Unknown or Not Reported
10 Participants
n=5 Participants
14 Participants
n=7 Participants
6 Participants
n=5 Participants
13 Participants
n=4 Participants
74 Participants
n=21 Participants
72 Participants
n=8 Participants
189 Participants
n=8 Participants
Region of Enrollment
United States
11667 participants
n=5 Participants
11639 participants
n=7 Participants
11652 participants
n=5 Participants
11644 participants
n=4 Participants
46898 participants
n=21 Participants
24149 participants
n=8 Participants
44602 participants
n=8 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Participants were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine.

Patient received a flu vaccination

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=9640 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=9622 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=9641 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=9695 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Rate
4901 Participants
5042 Participants
5087 Participants
5090 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Participants were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine.

Patient received a flu vaccination Note: For patients who received risk communications, those in the top 3% were always told they were in the top 3% of risk. Those in the top 4-10% of risk were randomized to be told that they were in the top 10% of risk or high risk. Control patients in the top 3% and top 4-10% of risk were allocated to the top 3% and randomized to either top 10% or high risk groups, respectively, at the same time as those in the patient contact groups, even though these control patients were not contacted.

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=9640 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=9622 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=9641 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=9695 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Rate by Risk Level
Top 3%
1485 Participants
1536 Participants
1513 Participants
1537 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Risk Level
Top 10%
1658 Participants
1749 Participants
1795 Participants
1799 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Risk Level
High risk
1758 Participants
1757 Participants
1779 Participants
1754 Participants

PRIMARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Patient received a flu diagnosis via a positive PCR/antigen/molecular test

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Patient received a diagnosis that was likely flu, as assessed via ICD codes or Tamiflu administration or positive PCR/antigen/molecular test. Note that this outcome is a superset of the "high confidence flu diagnosis rate" outcome.

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through 3 months after the end of the flu season (August 31st 2021), approximately 12 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Patient was diagnosed with flu-related complications

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Within 12 months pre-intervention (Time 1) and within 12 months post-intervention (Time 2)

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Number of patient visits to the ER, examining relative rate of visits across Time 1 and 2

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Within 12 months pre-intervention (Time 1) and within 12 months post-intervention (Time 2)

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Number of patient hospital visits, examining relative rate of visits across Time 1 and 2

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Household members were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine. Household members who shared an address with multiple patients in the intervention were counted in this outcome once for every eligible target participant who shared their address.

Non-targeted fellow household members of targeted patients received a flu vaccination

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=7584 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=7981 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=7773 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=7516 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Among Fellow Household Members
2136 Participants
2207 Participants
2165 Participants
2175 Participants

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Non-targeted fellow household members of targeted patients received a flu diagnosis (via a positive PCR/antigen/molecular test)

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Non-targeted fellow household members of targeted patients received a diagnosis that was likely flu (as assessed via ICD codes or Tamiflu administration or positive PCR/antigen/molecular test)

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through 3 months after the end of the flu season (August 31st 2021), approximately 12 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Non-targeted fellow household members of targeted patients were diagnosed with flu-related complications

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Participants were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine.

Non-targeted sub-threshold risk patients received a flu vaccination

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=40030 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Among Those at Sub-threshold Risk
18268 Participants

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Non-targeted sub-threshold risk patients received a flu diagnosis (via a positive PCR/antigen/molecular test)

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Non-targeted sub-threshold risk patients received a diagnosis that was likely flu (as assessed via ICD codes or Tamiflu administration or positive PCR/antigen/molecular test)

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

SECONDARY outcome

Timeframe: Through 3 months after the end of the flu season (August 31st 2021), approximately 12 months assessment duration

Population: Flu cases and other related outcomes (flu complications, ER visits for flu, hospitalizations for flu) in the 2020-2021 flu season were too low to detect any meaningful differences across study arms. Therefore, the study team did not collect data for this outcome.

Non-targeted sub-threshold risk patients were diagnosed with flu-related complications

Outcome measures

Outcome data not reported

POST_HOC outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Participants were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine.

Patient received a flu vaccination

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=9640 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=9622 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=9641 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=9695 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Rate by Race
American Indian or Alaska Native
6 Participants
9 Participants
6 Participants
7 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Race
Asian
19 Participants
14 Participants
15 Participants
13 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Race
Black or African American
115 Participants
134 Participants
143 Participants
142 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Race
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
5 Participants
9 Participants
7 Participants
7 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Race
White
4751 Participants
4871 Participants
4916 Participants
4914 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Race
Unknown
5 Participants
5 Participants
0 Participants
7 Participants

POST_HOC outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Participants were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine.

Patient received a flu vaccination

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=9640 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=9622 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=9641 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=9695 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Rate by Gender
Female
3118 Participants
3245 Participants
3235 Participants
3197 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Gender
Male
1783 Participants
1797 Participants
1852 Participants
1893 Participants

POST_HOC outcome

Timeframe: Through the the end of the flu season (May 31st 2021), approximately 9 months assessment duration

Population: Participants were excluded from analysis if they were vaccinated prior to the study start date or if they were contraindicated for flu vaccine.

Patient received a flu vaccination

Outcome measures

Outcome measures
Measure
Control
n=9640 Participants
This group receives no additional pro-vaccination intervention beyond the health system's normal efforts. Although some patients are currently targeted for flu vaccination encouragement due to a non-ML assessment that they are at high risk for complications, these patients are not told that they are at high risk or that they have been targeted.
High Risk Only
n=9622 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications without specifying how or why the health system believes this to be the case. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Medical Records
n=9641 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
High Risk Based on Algorithm
n=9695 Participants
This group receives messages telling them they have been identified to be at high risk for flu complications via analysis of their medical records by an AI/ML system. Risk reduction: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Medical records-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message Algorithm-based recommendation: Mailed letter, SMS, and/or patient portal message
Flu Vaccination Rate by Ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino
118 Participants
173 Participants
136 Participants
146 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Ethnicity
Not Hispanic or Latino
4778 Participants
4860 Participants
4943 Participants
4938 Participants
Flu Vaccination Rate by Ethnicity
Unable to obtain
5 Participants
9 Participants
8 Participants
6 Participants

Adverse Events

Control

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

High Risk Only

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

High Risk Based on Medical Records

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

High Risk Based on Algorithm

Serious events: 0 serious events
Other events: 0 other events
Deaths: 0 deaths

Serious adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Other adverse events

Adverse event data not reported

Additional Information

Amir Goren, PhD

Geisinger Health

Phone: 570-214-4395

Results disclosure agreements

  • Principal investigator is a sponsor employee
  • Publication restrictions are in place