Trial Outcomes & Findings for Unique Effects of Perimenstrual Estradiol or Progesterone Supplementation on Perimenstrual Suicidality (NCT NCT03498313)
NCT ID: NCT03498313
Last Updated: 2022-09-14
Results Overview
Each day, participants completed five items from the Adult Suicidal Ideation Questionnaire (ASIQ; items 1,2,9,17,19). Response options ranged from 1 (no suicidal ideation) to 6 (extreme severity of suicidal ideation). For each participant on each day, "mean daily SI" was calculated as the mean of these five items. Our outcome, Cyclical Change in SI Severity, is calculated for each person, in each condition, as the DIFFERENCE between mean daily SI during the low-risk early luteal phase days (days LH surge +1,2,3,4,5,6,7) and the high-risk perimenstrual phase days (days LH surge +11,12,13,14,15,16,17), with the subtraction carried out as Perimenstrual mean minus Early Luteal mean. Therefore, this single value represents the degree to which an individual showed perimenstrual worsening of SI within a condition.
COMPLETED
PHASE4
60 participants
Days 1 to 17 following positive LH test
2022-09-14
Participant Flow
60 participants were enrolled (consented) in the study. Following a baseline phase in which participants completed daily symptom ratings and prepared to begin urinary LH testing as part of the lead-up to the first experimental period, 46 participants remained in the study and were randomized to one of six sequences of the three experimental conditions.
Participant milestones
| Measure |
E-P-PBO
Estrogen First, then Progesterone, then Placebo
|
E-PBO-P
Estrogen, Placebo, Progesterone
|
P-E-PBO
Progesterone, Estrogen, Placebo
|
P-PBO-E
Progesterone, Placebo, Estrogen
|
PBO-E-P
Placebo, Estrogen, Progesterone
|
PBO-P-E
Placebo, Progesterone, Estrogen
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Experimental Period 1
STARTED
|
9
|
8
|
9
|
5
|
9
|
6
|
|
Experimental Period 1
COMPLETED
|
8
|
7
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
6
|
|
Experimental Period 1
NOT COMPLETED
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
|
Washout Period 1
STARTED
|
8
|
7
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
6
|
|
Washout Period 1
COMPLETED
|
7
|
4
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
5
|
|
Washout Period 1
NOT COMPLETED
|
1
|
3
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
|
Experimental Period 2
STARTED
|
7
|
4
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
5
|
|
Experimental Period 2
COMPLETED
|
7
|
4
|
9
|
3
|
8
|
3
|
|
Experimental Period 2
NOT COMPLETED
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
|
Washout Period 2
STARTED
|
7
|
4
|
9
|
3
|
8
|
3
|
|
Washout Period 2
COMPLETED
|
3
|
2
|
9
|
2
|
6
|
1
|
|
Washout Period 2
NOT COMPLETED
|
4
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
|
Experimental Period 3
STARTED
|
3
|
2
|
9
|
2
|
6
|
1
|
|
Experimental Period 3
COMPLETED
|
3
|
2
|
9
|
2
|
6
|
1
|
|
Experimental Period 3
NOT COMPLETED
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Reasons for withdrawal
| Measure |
E-P-PBO
Estrogen First, then Progesterone, then Placebo
|
E-PBO-P
Estrogen, Placebo, Progesterone
|
P-E-PBO
Progesterone, Estrogen, Placebo
|
P-PBO-E
Progesterone, Placebo, Estrogen
|
PBO-E-P
Placebo, Estrogen, Progesterone
|
PBO-P-E
Placebo, Progesterone, Estrogen
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Experimental Period 1
Adverse Event
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
|
Experimental Period 1
Withdrawal by Subject
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
|
Washout Period 1
Anovulation
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
|
Washout Period 1
Withdrawal by Subject
|
0
|
3
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
|
Experimental Period 2
Adverse Event
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
|
Washout Period 2
Physician Decision
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
|
Washout Period 2
Withdrawal by Subject
|
3
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
0
|
|
Washout Period 2
Anovulation
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
Baseline Characteristics
Unique Effects of Perimenstrual Estradiol or Progesterone Supplementation on Perimenstrual Suicidality
Baseline characteristics by cohort
| Measure |
E-P-PBO
n=9 Participants
Estrogen First, then Progesterone, then Placebo
|
E-PBO-P
n=8 Participants
Estrogen, Placebo, Progesterone
|
P-E-PBO
n=9 Participants
Progesterone, Estrogen, Placebo
|
P-PBO-E
n=5 Participants
Progesterone, Placebo, Estrogen
|
PBO-E-P
n=9 Participants
Placebo, Estrogen, Progesterone
|
PBO-P-E
n=6 Participants
Placebo, Progesterone, Estrogen
|
Total
n=46 Participants
Total of all reporting groups
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Age, Categorical
<=18 years
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Age, Categorical
Between 18 and 65 years
|
9 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
8 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
9 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
5 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
9 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
6 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
46 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Age, Categorical
>=65 years
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Sex: Female, Male
Female
|
9 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
8 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
9 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
5 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
9 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
6 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
46 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Sex: Female, Male
Male
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
American Indian or Alaska Native
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
Asian
|
2 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
2 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
2 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
8 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
|
1 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
Black or African American
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
4 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
2 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
2 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
8 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
White
|
6 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
6 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
4 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
4 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
6 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
27 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
More than one race
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
1 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Race (NIH/OMB)
Unknown or Not Reported
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=7 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=5 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=4 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=21 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=10 Participants
|
0 Participants
n=115 Participants
|
|
Region of Enrollment
United States
|
9 participants
n=5 Participants
|
8 participants
n=7 Participants
|
9 participants
n=5 Participants
|
5 participants
n=4 Participants
|
9 participants
n=21 Participants
|
6 participants
n=10 Participants
|
46 participants
n=115 Participants
|
PRIMARY outcome
Timeframe: Days 1 to 17 following positive LH testEach day, participants completed five items from the Adult Suicidal Ideation Questionnaire (ASIQ; items 1,2,9,17,19). Response options ranged from 1 (no suicidal ideation) to 6 (extreme severity of suicidal ideation). For each participant on each day, "mean daily SI" was calculated as the mean of these five items. Our outcome, Cyclical Change in SI Severity, is calculated for each person, in each condition, as the DIFFERENCE between mean daily SI during the low-risk early luteal phase days (days LH surge +1,2,3,4,5,6,7) and the high-risk perimenstrual phase days (days LH surge +11,12,13,14,15,16,17), with the subtraction carried out as Perimenstrual mean minus Early Luteal mean. Therefore, this single value represents the degree to which an individual showed perimenstrual worsening of SI within a condition.
Outcome measures
| Measure |
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo
n=38 Participants
.1mg per 24 hours transdermal estradiol applied to the skin weekly, and sugar pill manufactured to mimic the progesterone pills taken twice daily by mouth, for 14 days.
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo: .1mg/24hr transdermal estradiol for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus twice daily placebo pills during the same time frame.
|
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo
n=35 Participants
100 mg oral micronized progesterone pill taken twice daily by mouth, and clear patch manufactured to mimic the E2 patch applied to the skin weekly, for 14 days.
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo: 100mg oral micronized progesterone twice daily for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus weekly application of a placebo patch during the same time frame.
|
Placebos
n=35 Participants
Sugar pill designed to mimic the P4 pills taken twice daily by mouth, and clear patch manufactured to mimic the E2 patch applied to the skin weekly, for 14 days.
Placebos: Twice daily placebo pills for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus weekly application of a placebo patch during the same time frame.
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
Cyclical Change in Suicidal Ideation (SI) Severity
|
-.22 units on a scale
Standard Error .05
|
-.05 units on a scale
Standard Error .07
|
.25 units on a scale
Standard Error .11
|
Adverse Events
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo
Placebos
Serious adverse events
| Measure |
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo
n=38 participants at risk
.1mg per 24 hours transdermal estradiol applied to the skin weekly, and sugar pill manufactured to mimic the progesterone pills taken twice daily by mouth, for 14 days.
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo: .1mg/24hr transdermal estradiol for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus twice daily placebo pills during the same time frame.
|
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo
n=35 participants at risk
100 mg oral micronized progesterone pill taken twice daily by mouth, and clear patch manufactured to mimic the E2 patch applied to the skin weekly, for 14 days.
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo: 100mg oral micronized progesterone twice daily for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus weekly application of a placebo patch during the same time frame.
|
Placebos
n=35 participants at risk
Sugar pill designed to mimic the P4 pills taken twice daily by mouth, and clear patch manufactured to mimic the E2 patch applied to the skin weekly, for 14 days.
Placebos: Twice daily placebo pills for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus weekly application of a placebo patch during the same time frame.
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
Respiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders
Hospitalization for Respiratory Infection
|
0.00%
0/38 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
2.9%
1/35 • Number of events 1 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
Psychiatric disorders
Hospitalization for Worsening Suicidal Ideation
|
0.00%
0/38 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
2.9%
1/35 • Number of events 1 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
Other adverse events
| Measure |
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo
n=38 participants at risk
.1mg per 24 hours transdermal estradiol applied to the skin weekly, and sugar pill manufactured to mimic the progesterone pills taken twice daily by mouth, for 14 days.
Transdermal Estradiol + Placebo: .1mg/24hr transdermal estradiol for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus twice daily placebo pills during the same time frame.
|
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo
n=35 participants at risk
100 mg oral micronized progesterone pill taken twice daily by mouth, and clear patch manufactured to mimic the E2 patch applied to the skin weekly, for 14 days.
Oral Micronized Progesterone + Placebo: 100mg oral micronized progesterone twice daily for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus weekly application of a placebo patch during the same time frame.
|
Placebos
n=35 participants at risk
Sugar pill designed to mimic the P4 pills taken twice daily by mouth, and clear patch manufactured to mimic the E2 patch applied to the skin weekly, for 14 days.
Placebos: Twice daily placebo pills for 14 days starting day 7 after positive urine luteinizing hormone test, plus weekly application of a placebo patch during the same time frame.
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
General disorders
Headache
|
10.5%
4/38 • Number of events 4 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
14.3%
5/35 • Number of events 5 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
17.1%
6/35 • Number of events 6 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
Reproductive system and breast disorders
Breast Discomfort
|
10.5%
4/38 • Number of events 4 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
2.9%
1/35 • Number of events 1 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
11.4%
4/35 • Number of events 4 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
Musculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders
Muscle Pain
|
0.00%
0/38 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
5.7%
2/35 • Number of events 2 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
General disorders
Nausea
|
5.3%
2/38 • Number of events 2 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
5.7%
2/35 • Number of events 2 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
8.6%
3/35 • Number of events 3 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
Skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders
Skin Irritation
|
7.9%
3/38 • Number of events 3 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
General disorders
Dizziness
|
2.6%
1/38 • Number of events 1 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
Eye disorders
Vision Changes
|
2.6%
1/38 • Number of events 1 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
|
Psychiatric disorders
Self-Report of Adverse Mood Changes
|
0.00%
0/38 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
5.7%
2/35 • Number of events 2 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
0.00%
0/35 • Three different two-week conditions, each with at least one month washout between (i.e., 6 weeks total).
Adverse events were assessed via phone daily during the six weeks of medication use.
|
Additional Information
Dr. Tory Eisenlohr-Moul, Assistant Professor of Psychiatry
University of Illinois at Chicago
Results disclosure agreements
- Principal investigator is a sponsor employee
- Publication restrictions are in place