Study Results
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Basic Information
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UNKNOWN
230 participants
OBSERVATIONAL
2017-01-01
2018-12-31
Brief Summary
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The main study's objective is to asses which factors are associated with outcome of dependence after stroke and propose a suitable instrument for identifying patients in higher risk for needing formal care from health and/or social care providers.
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Detailed Description
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Data collection methods Probabilistic sample: all consecutive stroke cases up to reaching the previously calculated sample size. Study will be carried out according the common clinical practice.
Primary outcome: The primary outcome was dependence occurring within the 2-year follow-up after the stroke episode. Assessment of the patients' degree of dependency is essential in determining nursing care needs, planning nursing intervention, helping increase patients' abilities, and creating proper discharge plans. The European Council \[12,13\] defines dependence as the state in which people, due to causes linked to the lack or loss of physical, psychological, or intellectual autonomy, are in need of assistance and/or significant help to carry out common activities of daily life. In primary care, the nurses in charge are trained of data collection. This situation needs of formal care provided by health or/and social workers, private or public.
Secondary outcomes:
1. Propose a suitable instrument with predictive power propose for identifying patients in higher risk for needing formal care from health and/or social care providers.
2. Measure the time elapsed from the hospital discharge to first contact with health primary care services, with social services, application for recognition of dependence degree, and get effective certification.
3. Know the newly diagnosed cases of dependence after stroke.
Statistical analysis All statistical tests will be performed as intention-to-treat. Prognostic factors' estimates will be adjusted by mixed-effects regression models. Possible confounding or effect-modifying factors will be taken into account. Predictions of dependence risk were based on Cox proportional-hazard regression models. Data analysis information extracted included the adjusted risk estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) and all statistical tests were two sided at the 5% significance level.
All potential predictors were considered in a multivariate logistic regression, and a backward step selection procedure was carried out to pick the variables that composed the best model. Subsequently, design of a predictive model of multivariate Cox regression analysis was utilized to define the weight of each of the pathologies in the dependence. To assign the weight according to the hazard ratio (HR) value, we took into account only those with a HR ≥1.2 in the multivariate model approximating the value of HR to the nearest whole number:
* HR between 1.20 and 1.49 scored a 1.
* HR between 1.50 and 2.49 was a 2.
* HR between 2.50 and 3.49 received 3, and so on. The final score for each patient will be made up of the sum of their scores. We will use ROC curves and the AUC to assess the ability of this tool to stratify patients and predict dependence. To ensure internal validity, we will perform a ten-fold cross-validated multivariate regularized logistic regression to predict dependence status based on all other variables. We will plot the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and compute the area under curve (AUC) to assess the prediction power of the models. In a next phase, there will be a prospective study of validation in the cohort of patients with an episode of stroke along 2018 year.
Conditions
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Study Design
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CASE_ONLY
PROSPECTIVE
Study Groups
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patients with Dependence degree
Dependence degree already certificated by Dependence Law: It is calculated by accepting an expected proportion of 40% patients with dependence, with a precision 6.5% and confidence level of 95%, obtaining a N= 200 patients. Assuming a 15% of loses, we estimate we will need N=230 to be followed. This sample size would enable us to construct logistic regression models including simultaneously up to 5 predictive factors to assess the relationship between each of the independent variables and the occurrence of dependency.
Dependence degree already certificated by Dependence Law.
The European Council defines dependence as the state in which people, due to causes linked to the lack or loss of physical, psychological, or intellectual autonomy, are in need of assistance and/or significant help to carry out common activities of daily life. In primary care, the nurses in charge are trained of data collection. This situation needs of formal care provided by health or/and social workers, private or public.
Interventions
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Dependence degree already certificated by Dependence Law.
The European Council defines dependence as the state in which people, due to causes linked to the lack or loss of physical, psychological, or intellectual autonomy, are in need of assistance and/or significant help to carry out common activities of daily life. In primary care, the nurses in charge are trained of data collection. This situation needs of formal care provided by health or/and social workers, private or public.
Eligibility Criteria
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Inclusion Criteria
Exclusion Criteria
ALL
No
Sponsors
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Universidad Miguel Hernandez de Elche
OTHER
Fundacio d'Investigacio en Atencio Primaria Jordi Gol i Gurina
OTHER
Responsible Party
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Principal Investigators
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JOSE L CLUA-ESPUNY, PhD
Role: STUDY_DIRECTOR
IDIAP JORDI GOL
CONCEPCION CARRATALA-MUNUERA, PhD
Role: STUDY_DIRECTOR
Universidad Miguel Hernandez de Elche
Locations
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Jose Luis Clua-Espuny
Tortosa, Tarragona, Spain
Countries
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References
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Clua-Espuny JL, Ripolles-Vicente R, Forcadell-Arenas T, Gil-Guillen VF, Queralt-Tomas ML, Gonzalez-Henares MA, Panisello-Tafalla A, Lopez-Pablo C, Lucas-Noll J; Ebrictus Group. Sex Differences in Long-Term Survival after a First Stroke with Intravenous Thrombolysis: Ebrictus Study. Cerebrovasc Dis Extra. 2015 Oct 9;5(3):95-102. doi: 10.1159/000440734. eCollection 2015 Sep-Dec.
Clua-Espuny JL, Ripolles-Vicente R, Lopez-Pablo C, Panisello-Tafalla A, Lucas-Noll J, Calduch-Noll C, Gonzalez-Henares MA, Queralt-Tomas ML. [Differences in the survival after an episode of stroke treated with thrombolytic therapy. Study Ebrictus]. Aten Primaria. 2015 Feb;47(2):108-16. doi: 10.1016/j.aprim.2014.04.008. Epub 2014 Jun 19. Spanish.
Clua-Espuny JL, Pinol-Moreso JL, Gil-Guillen VF, Orozco-Beltran D, Panisello-Tafalla A, Lucas-Noll J, Queralt-Tomas ML, Pla-Farnos R. [Primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention results in patients with stroke: relapse risk and associated survival (Ebrictus study)]. Rev Neurol. 2012 Jan 16;54(2):81-92. Spanish.
Clua-Espuny JL, Gonzalez-Henares MA, Queralt-Tomas MLL, Campo-Tamayo W, Muria-Subirats E, Panisello-Tafalla A, Lucas-Noll J. Mortality and Cardiovascular Complications in Older Complex Chronic Patients with Type 2 Diabetes. Biomed Res Int. 2017;2017:6078498. doi: 10.1155/2017/6078498. Epub 2017 Aug 10.
Gonzalez-Henares A, Clua-Espuny JL, Gil-Guillen VF, Panisello-Tafalla A, Queralt-Tomas ML, Ripolles-Vicente R, Lopez-Pablo C, Lucas-Noll J, Equipo de Investigacion Ebrictus Ede I. [Incidence and preventability of haemorrhagic strokes. Results of the Ebrictus register]. Rev Neurol. 2016 May 1;62(9):385-95. Spanish.
Gil-Guillen V, Carratala-Munuera C, Ortega JC, Orozco-Beltran D, Ribera JM, Exposito AP, Canovas PM, Mora EP, Azofra EM, Gimenez AF, Lopez-Pineda A, Lorca-Amorrich P, Plaza-Sirvent C, Sola EB, Salas-Rico R, Fernandez-Garcia A. Protective factors in patients aged over 65 with stroke treated by physiotherapy, showing cognitive impairment, in the Valencia Community. Protection study in older people (EPACV). BMC Neurol. 2012 Oct 5;12:118. doi: 10.1186/1471-2377-12-118.
Clua-Espuny JL, Pinol-Moreso JL, Gil-Guillen FV, Orozco-Beltran D, Panisello-Tafalla A, Lucas-Noll J. [The stroke care system in Terres de l'Ebre, Spain, after the implementation of the Stroke Code model: Ebrictus Study]. Med Clin (Barc). 2012 May 19;138(14):609-11. doi: 10.1016/j.medcli.2011.10.004. Epub 2011 Dec 6. Spanish.
Oliva-Moreno J, Pena-Longobardo LM, Mar J, Masjuan J, Soulard S, Gonzalez-Rojas N, Becerra V, Casado MA, Torres C, Yebenes M, Quintana M, Alvarez-Sabin J; CONOCES Investigators Group. Determinants of Informal Care, Burden, and Risk of Burnout in Caregivers of Stroke Survivors: The CONOCES Study. Stroke. 2018 Jan;49(1):140-146. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.117.017575. Epub 2017 Nov 28.
Other Identifiers
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PROJECTE PERIS 2016
Identifier Type: OTHER_GRANT
Identifier Source: secondary_id
P17/198 IDIAP Jordi Gol
Identifier Type: -
Identifier Source: org_study_id
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